Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Idrettsparken Notodden (Notodden)


	Notodden		Sandnes Ulf

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.7	1.85
	3.61	4.08	1.8
				Watch
	3.64	3.72	1.8	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (2.55)	3.78 ↑ (3.75)	1.81 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notodden
25.8%

Draw
24.1%

Sandnes Ulf
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

24%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

23.3%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notodden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Notodden's form might have worsened.

Sandnes Ulf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sandnes Ulf's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notodden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandnes Ulf than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sandnes Ulf, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Notodden - Sandnes Ulf Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sandnes Ulf (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Notodden (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Sandnes Ulf (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Notodden (votes: 1 - 25%). Sandnes Ulf (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Midtlyng T. (G) 27. Hagen N. 17. Holthe J. 2. Jacobsen N. 8. Jorgensen S. 18. Kyvik L. 6. Larsen S. (C) 10. Singh K. 9. Sissoko D. 3. Ullenes P. 7. Ulsnes J.	1. Falch A. (G) 20. Aune J. 3. Berger E. 4. Gayi E. 11. Kvernstuen J. 17. Nyhagen A. 5. Oregaard G. (C) 10. Osenbroch E. 8. Saugestad S. 9. Sundgot O. 6. Tromsdal J.
Substitutes
5. Ahmed M. 12. Bergesen J. (G) 11. Gampedalen H. 15. Haug H. 21. Nesland J. 22. Nordbo T. 29. Rasberg S. 19. Svarstad S. 24. Telle T.	22. Arifagic D. 23. Berland E. 28. Bertelsen N. 18. Bruseth A. 2. Egell-Johnsen K. 7. Galta J. 21. Haland T. 15. Jensen H. 13. Sola M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Kyvik L. 🟥,
17', Holthe J. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
34', Berger E. 🟨,
37', Kvernstuen J. 🟨,
37', Midtlyng T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
53', 0 - 1, Aune J. ⚽,
58', Larsen S. 🟨,
60', 0 - 2, Osenbroch E. ⚽,
66', Nyhagen A. ↓, Jensen H. ↑,
66', Aune J. ↓, Bruseth A. ↑,
66', Kvernstuen J. ↓, Berland E. ↑,
69', Larsen S. ↓, Telle T. ↑,
69', Jacobsen N. ↓, Svarstad S. ↑,
71', 0 - 3, Sundgot O. ⚽,
73', Osenbroch E. ↓, Galta J. ↑,
73', Berger E. ↓, Egell-Johnsen K. ↑,
77', Sissoko D. ↓, Gampedalen H. ↑,
77', Singh K. ↓, Nordbo T. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 4, Saugestad S. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion: )).

Recent performances by Notodden have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sandnes Ulf is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Notodden may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sandnes Ulf is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Notodden won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Notodden won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
15.06.25	Træff - Notodden	1:1 ✺
09.06.25	Notodden - Brann 2	3:0 ✺
31.05.25	Lysekloster - Notodden	0:0 ✺
25.05.25	Notodden - Jerv	2:3 ✺
10.05.25	Sandviken - Notodden	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWTLT
- Sandnes Ulf
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
14.06.25	Sandnes Ulf - Flekkerøy	3:0 ✺
07.06.25	Vard Haugesund - Sandnes Ulf	2:2 ✺
31.05.25	Jerv - Sandnes Ulf	1:3 ✺
24.05.25	Sandnes Ulf - Lysekloster	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Brattvåg - Sandnes Ulf	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.09.19	Sandnes Ulf - Notodden	1:0
28.07.19	Notodden - Sandnes Ulf	0:4
23.09.18	Sandnes Ulf - Notodden	1:1
10.06.18	Notodden - Sandnes Ulf	1:0

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