The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Follo 41.4%
Draw 23.8%
Stjørdals-Blink 34.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.5%
24.3%
47.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
24.5%
47.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Follo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Follo's performance.
Stjørdals-Blink has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stjørdals-Blink might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follo than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Follo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjørdals-Blink than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stjørdals-Blink could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Follo - Stjørdals Blink Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Rod S. (G) 21. Braten M. 7. Diallo H. 17. Fofana M. 4. Hagen H. (C) 26. Helling G. 12. Ibrahim Y. 3. Jabari S. R. M. 27. Jorde J. 18. Martinsen-Wold S. 28. Schmidt-Lovlund N.
12. Hilstad L. (G) 20. Bartel A. 17. Fagerhaug M. V. 10. Feldt B. 22. Kvalvik A. 11. Kvande V. 25. Lewis G. 7. Myrvagnes E. S. 3. Pedersen T. (C) 4. Sonstebo J. 6. Stuen S.
Substitutes
24. Folstad-Andersen L. 32. Granli J. 23. Hrustic A. 22. Khris O. 2. Maturire J. 15. Nysted A. 9. Tjaland A. 8. Tjostheim E. 34. Vik A.
23. Einarson P. 29. Forren E. 1. Meidal E. (G) 21. Sandrod E. 9. Solskjaer N. 8. Ulloa Niinivirta L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ibrahim Y. ↓, Granli J. ↑,
49', Jorde J. 🟨,
56', 0 - 1, Jorde J. (Own goal),
60', Diallo H. ↓, Maturire J. ↑,
60', Fofana M. ↓, Tjaland A. ↑,
68', Martinsen-Wold S. ↓, Tjostheim E. ↑,
69', Schmidt-Lovlund N. ↓, Khris O. ↑,
73', Feldt B. ↓, Forren E. ↑,
73', Lewis G. ↓, Einarson P. ↑,
80', Kvande V. ↓, Solskjaer N. ↑,
80', Myrvagnes E. S. ↓, Ulloa Niinivirta L. ↑,
83', Khris O. 🟨,
89', Kvalvik A. ↓, Sandrod E. ↑,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 12th in the Relegation and 7th).
Recent results have been tough for Follo (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Stjørdals-Blink have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Follo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Stjørdals-Blink has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Follo has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:10 (averaging 1.4:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Follo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Stjordals Blink
22
10
3
9
38:38
0
33
12
Follo
22
3
5
14
25:46
-21
14
Last Results with these Odds
Follo - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 28.5%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.