Match Info

NM Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Norway	16:00	Direkte Sport


	Follo		Sarpsborg 08

	1	X	2
	21.00	12.00	1.06
	20.00	11.50	1.06
	19.00	11.50	1.04
	18.00	10.50	1.03
	15	8.4	1.11	Watch
	17.00	7.75	1.04
	21.00	11.90	1.06
	19.00	9.40	1.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	18.75 ↑ (15)	10.37 ↑ (8.4)	1.06 ↓ (1.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Follo
4.9%

Draw
8.8%

Sarpsborg 08
86.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

6.1%

11%

82.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Follo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Follo - Sarpsborg 08 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Karlsbakk D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 0 - 2, Sorli S. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Sarpsborg could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, Sarpsborg enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Follo has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:6 (averaging 0.5:3 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Follo
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
26.09.26	Kjelsås - Follo	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Follo - Eidsvold Turn	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Levanger - Follo	5:2 ✺
05.09.26	Follo - Tromsdalen	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Hønefoss - Follo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TLLWL
- Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien
18.09.26	Sarpsborg 08 - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Vålerenga	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Tromsø - Sarpsborg 08	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Sandefjord	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.01.15	Sarpsborg 08 - Follo	4:1
Norwegian NM Cup
04.06.14	Sarpsborg 08 - Follo	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien
01.11.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Kristiansund	✺
Norwegian NM Cup
28.10.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Vålerenga	✺

Follo - Sarpsborg 08