Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Follonica Gavorrano		Foligno

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	2.78
	2.01	3.52	3.23	Watch
	2.41	3.04	2.72
	2.26	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.01)	3.19 ↓ (3.52)	2.91 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Follonica Gavorrano
40.2%

Draw
28.5%

Foligno
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

26%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

26.4%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Follonica Gavorrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Follonica Gavorrano's form might have worsened.

Foligno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Follonica Gavorrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foligno than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Follonica Gavorrano - Foligno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, ⚽,
59', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Follonica Gavorrano won 4.

Follonica Gavorrano has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Foligno has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Follonica Gavorrano won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.7:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Follonica Gavorrano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Follonica Gavorrano
Italian Serie D - Group E
26.10.25	Seravezza Pozzi - Follonica Gavorrano	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Ghiviborgo	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Follonica Gavorrano	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Valmontone	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
05.10.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Siena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- Foligno
Italian Serie D - Group E
26.10.25	Foligno - Terranuova Traiana	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Scandicci - Foligno	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Foligno - Poggibonsi	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Foligno - Atletico Ascoli	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.10.25	Orvietana - Foligno	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
20.02.22	Foligno - Follonica Gavorrano	1:3
10.10.21	Follonica Gavorrano - Foligno	3:0
11.04.21	Foligno - Follonica Gavorrano	1:2
20.12.20	Follonica Gavorrano - Foligno	3:0
10.11.19	Follonica Gavorrano - Foligno	1:2
07.02.16	Foligno - Follonica Gavorrano	0:0
Italian Lega Pro C2/B
10.03.13	Foligno - Follonica Gavorrano	0:0

Follonica Gavorrano - Foligno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide