Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	San Donato Tavarnelle		Follonica Gavorrano

	1	X	2
	2.20	2.85	3.10
	2.15	3.05	3
	2.37	2.63	3.22
	2.25	3.05	3.12	Watch
	2.3	2.6	3.15
	2.18	3.33	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.16)	2.92 ↓ (3.08)	3.14 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Donato Tavarnelle
40.3%

Draw
30.9%

Follonica Gavorrano
28.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

29.1%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Donato Tavarnelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Follonica Gavorrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

San Donato Tavarnelle - Follonica Gavorrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Pino A. ⚽,
87', 0 - 2, Pino A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Donato won 1.

San Donato could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with San Donato holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, San Donato has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:22 (averaging 1.4:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for San Donato against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:10 goals (averaging 1.5:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Follonica Gavorrano	9	4	5	0	12:6	6	17
12	San Donato	9	3	2	4	10:12	-2	11

Last Results with these Odds

Follonica Gavorrano - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.35%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Donato Tavarnelle
Italian Serie D - Group E
13.09.26	Sasso Marconi - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	San Donato Tavarnelle - Seravezza Pozzi	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	San Donato Tavarnelle - Scandicci	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Grosseto - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
03.05.26	San Donato Tavarnelle - Seravezza Pozzi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWLWT
- Follonica Gavorrano
Italian Serie D - Group E
16.09.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Ghiviborgo	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Ternana - Follonica Gavorrano	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Grassina	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Camaiore	3:2 ✺
19.04.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Orvietana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
15.02.26	Follonica Gavorrano - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:1
12.10.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Follonica Gavorrano	1:1
30.03.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Follonica Gavorrano	0:1
17.11.24	Follonica Gavorrano - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:2
07.01.24	Follonica Gavorrano - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:1
27.02.22	Follonica Gavorrano - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Follonica Gavorrano - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:1 penalties

San Donato Tavarnelle - Follonica Gavorrano