Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 9

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Fontinhas		União de Santarém

	1	X	2
	5	3.6	1.55
	4.75	3.75	1.6
	5.36	3.75	1.61
	5.36	3.75	1.62
	5.05	3.8	1.56
	5.4	3.75	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.15 ↑ (4.01)	3.73 ↑ (3.37)	1.58 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fontinhas
17.7%

Draw
24.5%

União de Santarém
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

27.2%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

26.5%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fontinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fontinhas's form might have worsened.

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting União de Santarém's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for União de Santarém, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match União de Santarém is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fontinhas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Fontinhas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Fontinhas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
28.10.23	Fontinhas - Peniche	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Fontinhas - União de Coimbra	3:2 ✺
08.10.23	SB Castelo Branco - Fontinhas	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Fontinhas - Gouveia	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Canelas - Fontinhas	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWL
- União de Santarém
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
28.10.23	Alverca B - União de Santarém	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	União de Santarém - União de Tomar	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	União de Santarém - Mortágua	3:0 ✺
01.10.23	Sertanense - União de Santarém	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Dumiense - União de Santarém	4:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.01.20	Fontinhas - União de Santarém	1:1

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