The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Forest Green Rovers 15.6%
Draw 21%
Swindon Town 63.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.2%
25.5%
44.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
25.5%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forest Green Rovers's form might have worsened.
Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swindon Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forest Green Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-19%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swindon Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
0%
85.7%
Forest Green Rovers - Swindon Town Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Forest Green (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Swindon Town will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% โ 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Forest Green (votes: 1 - 100%).
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Drinan A. ⚽,
9', 0 - 2, Glatzel P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 3, Glatzel P. ⚽,
65', 0 - 4, Middlemas B. ⚽,
75', 1 - 4, Rees R. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 0.
Forest Green is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Swindon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Swindon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Swindon has had a series of home games.
Swindon could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.9:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Forest Green won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
Watch
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