Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 28

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Referee: Pollard C. (Eng)


	Forest Green Rovers		Harrogate Town

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.5
	2.1	3.5	3.25
	2.1	3.5	3.4
	2.09	3.61	3.58
	2.09	3.61	3.58
	2.05	3.5	3.25
	2.05	3.56	3.45	Watch
	2.04	3.45	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.24)	3.53 ↑ (3.49)	3.42 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
45.5%

Draw
26.8%

Harrogate Town
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

26.9%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.5%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	15.4%	61.5%

Forest Green Rovers - Harrogate Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Harrogate will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Simkin T. (G) 25. Dabo F. 3. Bernard D. 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 17. Robson J. 21. Gorrin A. 27. Bunker H. 8. McCann C. 7. McAllister K. 9. Stevens M. 16. Thompson J.	31. Belshaw J. (G) 20. Ramsay K. 15. O'Connor A. 30. Gibson L. 23. Foulds M. 8. Cornelius D. 22. Dooley S. 7. Thomson G. (C) 9. Odoh A. 10. Daly M. 18. Muldoon J.
Substitutes
12. Bendle A. 1. Daniels L. (G) 4. Johnson D. 28. Jones C. 2. Lavinier M. 23. Omotoye T. 10. Taylor M.	6. Burrell W. 11. Daly J. 4. Falkingham J. 24. March J. 21. Mitchell J. (G) 19. Sivi J. 17. Sutton L.
Coaches
Deeney T.	Weaver S.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 12).

Forest Green is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Harrogate is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Forest Green will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Forest Green won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
06.01.24	Salford City - Forest Green Rovers	2:2 ✺
01.01.24	Forest Green Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	1:1 ✺
29.12.23	Swindon Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
26.12.23	Newport County - Forest Green Rovers	4:2 ✺
22.12.23	Forest Green Rovers - Gillingham	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTLLT
- Harrogate Town
English League Two
06.01.24	Harrogate Town - Doncaster Rovers	3:1 ✺
01.01.24	Morecambe - Harrogate Town	2:2 ✺
29.12.23	Harrogate Town - Tranmere Rovers	0:2 ✺
26.12.23	Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Grimsby Town - Harrogate Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
12.08.23	Harrogate Town - Forest Green Rovers	0:1
30.04.22	Forest Green Rovers - Harrogate Town	1:3
07.12.21	Harrogate Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:4
13.03.21	Forest Green Rovers - Harrogate Town	2:1
05.12.20	Harrogate Town - Forest Green Rovers	0:1

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