Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 27

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Tullo Morgagni (Forli)


	Forlì		Cavenago Fanfulla

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.9	7
	1.4	4.09	6.67
	1.41	4.09	6.67
	1.44	3.8	6
	1.4	3.98	7.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.82)	3.97 ↑ (3.4)	6.8 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forlì
64%

Draw
22.7%

Cavenago Fanfulla
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.7%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

26.2%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forlì has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forlì's performance.

Cavenago Fanfulla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cavenago Fanfulla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forlì that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavenago Fanfulla than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cavenago Fanfulla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Forlì - Cavenago Fanfulla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', Maggioli G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forlì won 4.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Forlì is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Forlì won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Forlì won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forli FC
Italian Serie D - Group D
10.03.24	SantAngelo - Forlì	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Forlì - Prato	3:1 ✺
25.02.24	Pistoiese - Forlì	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Forlì - Imolese	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Borgo San Donnino - Forlì	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWWT
- ASD Cavenago Fanfulla
Italian Serie D - Group D
10.03.24	Cavenago Fanfulla - Certaldo	2:2 ✺
03.03.24	Sammaurese - Cavenago Fanfulla	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Cavenago Fanfulla - Progresso	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Aglianese - Cavenago Fanfulla	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Cavenago Fanfulla - Mezzolara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
05.11.23	Cavenago Fanfulla - Forlì	0:0
05.03.23	Cavenago Fanfulla - Forlì	0:3
30.10.22	Forlì - Cavenago Fanfulla	3:0
15.05.22	Forlì - Cavenago Fanfulla	4:0
02.03.22	Cavenago Fanfulla - Forlì	0:1
19.01.20	Forlì - Cavenago Fanfulla	0:1
15.09.19	Cavenago Fanfulla - Forlì	2:1

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