Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 26

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Cavenago Fanfulla		Certaldo

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	4.6
	1.74	3.15	4.55
	1.74	3.15	4.55
	1.44	4	6
	1.71	3.22	4.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.45)	3.34 ↓ (4)	4.94 ↓ (6.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavenago Fanfulla
54.5%

Draw
27.1%

Certaldo
18.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22.7%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

20.8%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavenago Fanfulla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cavenago Fanfulla's form might have worsened.

Certaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavenago Fanfulla than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cavenago Fanfulla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Certaldo than the current prediction. (-5%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Fanfulla is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Certaldo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Fanfulla is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fanfulla to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fanfulla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Cavenago Fanfulla
Italian Serie D - Group D
03.03.24	Sammaurese - Cavenago Fanfulla	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Cavenago Fanfulla - Progresso	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Aglianese - Cavenago Fanfulla	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Cavenago Fanfulla - Mezzolara	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Ravenna - Cavenago Fanfulla	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28 WWLWW
- ASD Calcio Certaldo
Italian Serie D - Group D
03.03.24	Certaldo - Borgo San Donnino	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Prato - Certaldo	3:2 ✺
18.02.24	Certaldo - Sangiuliano City Nova	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Imolese - Certaldo	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Progresso - Certaldo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
01.11.23	Certaldo - Cavenago Fanfulla	0:1

Cavenago Fanfulla - Certaldo

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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