Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 20

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Formentera		La Nucía

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	2.65
	2.7	2.9	2.75
	2.59	2.8	2.46
	2.58	2.96	2.9
	2.52	2.94	2.88
	2.6	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (1.93)	2.88 ↓ (3.1)	2.73 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Formentera
35.1%

Draw
31.6%

La Nucía
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.3%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

28%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Formentera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Formentera's form might have worsened.

La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Nucía's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Formentera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Nucía, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Formentera - La Nucía Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Formentera is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

La Nucía is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Formentera will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Formentera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Formentera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.01.24	Hércules - Formentera	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Formentera - CE Europa	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Formentera - Cerdanyola del Vallès	3:0 ✺
16.12.23	Penya Independent - Formentera	1:3 ✺
10.12.23	Formentera - Andratx	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTWWL
- CF La Nucía
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.01.24	La Nucía - Espanyol B	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Lleida - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Badalona Futur - La Nucía	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	La Nucía - Peña Deportiva	0:2 ✺
10.12.23	Manresa - La Nucía	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
25.10.23	La Nucía - Formentera	0:2

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