Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 9

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Llosetense		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	8.47	4.37	1.36	Watch
	2.6	3	2.5
	2.66	3	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (2.66)	3.46 ↑ (3)	2.13 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llosetense
22.4%

Draw
29.6%

Peña Deportiva
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

30.2%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

31.4%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llosetense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llosetense's form might have worsened.

Peña Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peña Deportiva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llosetense than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llosetense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peña Deportiva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Llosetense - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Peña Deportiva (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
66', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Llosetense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Peña Deportiva is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Llosetense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
25.10.25	Portmany - Llosetense	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Llosetense - Rotlet Molinar	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	Collerense - Llosetense	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Llosetense - Santanyí	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Son Cladera - Llosetense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWTW
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
26.10.25	Peña Deportiva - Cardassar	5:1 ✺
19.10.25	Manacor - Peña Deportiva	0:5 ✺
12.10.25	Peña Deportiva - Mercadal	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Binissalem - Peña Deportiva	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Peña Deportiva - Felanitx	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW

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