Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 6

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday


	Fortaleza U20		Athletico Paranaense U20

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.1	2.92
	2.3	3.27	3.08
	2.25	3.26	2.98	Watch
	2.2	3	2.9
	2.22	3.14	3.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.16)	3.15 ↓ (3.42)	2.98 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza U20
40.6%

Draw
28.8%

Athletico Paranaense U20
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.9%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

26.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Athletico Paranaense U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza U20 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense U20 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Fortaleza U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Kaue Vinicius ⚽,
67', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In recent matches, Fortaleza U20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Athletico PR U20 is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fortaleza U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fortaleza U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Fortaleza U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza U20
Brasileiro U20
08.04.26	Flamengo RJ U20 - Fortaleza U20	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Corinthians U20 - Fortaleza U20	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Fortaleza U20 - Cuiabá U20	0:0 ✺
24.02.26	Fortaleza U20 - Vitória U20	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Fluminense U20 - Fortaleza U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWTTT
- Athletico Paranaense U20
Brazilian Paranaense U20
11.04.26	Cianorte U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
08.04.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Grêmio U20	4:3 ✺
01.04.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Santos U20	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Paranaense U20
26.03.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Paraná Clube Curitiba U20	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Coritiba U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
02.07.25	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Fortaleza U20	1:0
01.05.24	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Fortaleza U20	1:0
16.03.23	Fortaleza U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:1
12.09.21	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Fortaleza U20	3:5

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