Match Info

BFL - Round 15

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Muktijuddho Sriti Stadium (Rajshahi)


	Fortis		Rahmatganj

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.36	2.81	3.31	Watch
	2.02	3.15	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.02)	2.98 ↓ (3.15)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortis
41.6%

Draw
30.6%

Rahmatganj
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.3%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

27%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Rahmatganj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortis than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rahmatganj than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perera S. (G) 44. Tamang A. 4. Jallow E. 14. Mithu Chowdhury M. 12. Mia N. 28. Hossain R. 6. Mona M. 8. Mamun M. 9. Hossain S. 19. Okafor O. 10. Babou P. (C)	1. Alif M. (G) 2. Ahmed P. 7. Sayde M. 11. Islam M. 3. Limbu A. 10. Solomon K. (C) 8. Munna M. 14. Boateng E. 16. Ahmed J. 15. Appau A. 19. Howleder R.
Substitutes
16. Ali M. 30. Atick M. (G) 20. Bepari S. 26. Fakir M. 27. Kumar J. 3. Marma Aky K. 18. Nijum S. 17. Nova M. 25. Rabbani M. (G) 5. Rahman M. 29. Rahman S. 7. Uddin B.	4. Ahammad S. 26. Alam Shakil I. 13. Arabi M. 9. Clement A. 23. Faizullah M. 36. Habib A. (G) 29. Iqbal M. 25. Islam N. (G) 20. Juel S. 5. Kiron M. 24. Miah A. 28. Toha M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Ahmed J. ⚽, Ahmed P. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Okafor O. ⚽,
20', 1 - 2, Appau A. ⚽, Solomon K. (A),
22', 2 - 2, Babou P. ⚽, Okafor O. (A),
25', Mamun M. ↓, Ali M. ↑,
39', Ahmed P. ↓, Ahammad S. ↑,
39', Alif M. ↓, Habib A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mithu Chowdhury M. ↓, Rahman M. ↑,
48', 3 - 2, Babou P. ⚽,
61', Ali M. 🟨,
73', Ali M. ↓, Nova M. ↑,
75', Howleder R. ↓, Kiron M. ↑,
75', Ahmed J. ↓, Juel S. ↑,
90', Hossain S. ↓, Kumar J. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 and 5)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortis won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fortis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rahmatganj has had a series of away games.

Fortis might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fortis won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortis won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Fortis	2	1	1	0	9:3	6	4
10	Rahmatgonj MFS	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortis FC
Bangladesh BFL
24.04.26	Abahani Limited - Fortis	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Fortis - Arambagh Krira Sangha	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Bangladesh Police - Fortis	0:2 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
07.04.26	Bangladesh Police - Fortis	2:1 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
14.03.26	Fortis - Bashundhara Kings	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTWLL
- Rahmatganj MFS
Bangladesh Federation Cup
28.04.26	Fakirerpool YMC - Rahmatganj	0:0 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
24.04.26	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Rahmatganj	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Rahmatganj - Bashundhara Kings	1:1 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
14.04.26	PWD SC - Rahmatganj	0:2 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
10.04.26	PWD SC - Rahmatganj	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Bangladesh BFL
12.12.25	Rahmatganj - Fortis	0:1
21.02.25	Fortis - Rahmatganj	3:1
30.11.24	Rahmatganj - Fortis	3:1
26.04.24	Rahmatganj - Fortis	1:2
19.01.24	Fortis - Rahmatganj	2:2
13.05.23	Rahmatganj - Fortis	1:1
14.01.23	Fortis - Rahmatganj	0:0

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