Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Fortuna Düsseldorf II		Köln II

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.45	2.28
	2.82	3.6	2.31
	2.71	3.52	2.25
	2.7	3.45	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.25)	3.51 ↓ (3.74)	2.28 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf II
33.5%

Draw
26.2%

Köln II
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

24.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

24.6%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Düsseldorf II's form might have worsened.

Köln II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf II than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Düsseldorf II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln II than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Köln II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Köln II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
10', Marutzki M. 🟥,
11', 1 - 0, Bindemann D. (Pen),
30', 2 - 0, Bindemann D. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 0, Tito M. Q. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
62', 3 - 1, Toure S. ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, Adamyan S. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna II won 2.

Recent form of Fortuna II has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Köln II is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fortuna II won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna II won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf II
German Regionalliga West
27.09.25	Schalke 04 II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Borussia Dortmund II	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Rödinghausen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Velbert	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Fortuna Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- 1. Köln II
German Regionalliga West
27.09.25	Köln II - Gütersloh	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Köln II	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Köln II - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Bochum II - Köln II	0:1 ✺
01.09.25	Köln II - Wuppertal	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
01.02.25	Köln II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:2
10.08.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Köln II	0:0
18.05.24	Köln II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:2
24.11.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Köln II	3:2
18.02.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Köln II	0:0
26.08.22	Köln II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:1
29.04.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Köln II	0:1

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