Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Fortuna Düsseldorf II		Sportfreunde Lotte

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.75	2
	3.42	3.66	1.99
	2.25	3.76	2.62	Watch
	3.24	3.6	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.25)	3.69 ↓ (3.76)	2.14 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf II
31.2%

Draw
25.2%

Sportfreunde Lotte
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

24.4%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

23.4%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Düsseldorf II's form might have worsened.

Sportfreunde Lotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportfreunde Lotte's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf II than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Düsseldorf II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportfreunde Lotte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Sportfreunde Lotte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Tito M. Q. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Yang Si-woo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
61', 2 - 1, Addai S. ⚽,
88', 2 - 2, Kerkemeyer L. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 3, Heider M. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna II won 1.

Fortuna II has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

SF Lotte's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

SF Lotte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Fortuna II won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna II won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf II
German Regionalliga West
02.11.25	Siegen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Paderborn II	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Wiedenbrück - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	5:2 ✺
03.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Köln II	3:3 ✺
27.09.25	Schalke 04 II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Regionalliga West
31.10.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Gütersloh	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Bochum II - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Wuppertal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
28.02.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:3
15.09.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:4
14.12.21	Sportfreunde Lotte - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:1
14.08.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:1
20.02.21	Sportfreunde Lotte - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:1
26.09.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Sportfreunde Lotte	6:0
23.11.19	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Sportfreunde Lotte	0:1

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