Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Bochum II		Sportfreunde Lotte

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.45	2.05
	3.06	3.49	2.17
	3.22	3.42	2.02
	3.15	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.69)	3.44 ↓ (3.77)	2.07 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum II
29.1%

Draw
26.6%

Sportfreunde Lotte
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

24.6%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

23.4%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bochum II's form might have worsened.

Sportfreunde Lotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum II than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bochum II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportfreunde Lotte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bochum II - Sportfreunde Lotte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Kleine-Bekel C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 1 - 1, Addai S. ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, Demaj L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Bochum II is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, SF Lotte has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bochum II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum II won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bochum II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bochum II
German Regionalliga West
26.09.25	Siegen - Bochum II	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Bochum II - Paderborn II	2:2 ✺
16.09.25	Wiedenbrück - Bochum II	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Bochum II - Köln II	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Schalke 04 II - Bochum II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTTLL
- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Regionalliga West
27.09.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Wuppertal	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Bocholt - Sportfreunde Lotte	4:1 ✺
17.09.25	Siegen - Sportfreunde Lotte	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Paderborn II	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Wiedenbrück - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
07.03.15	Bochum II - Sportfreunde Lotte	0:4
12.09.14	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bochum II	1:0
24.05.14	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bochum II	0:0
07.12.13	Bochum II - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:1
27.04.13	Bochum II - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:1

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