Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Nord - Round 17

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	Fortuna Regensburg		Bayern Hof

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.6	4.8
	1.53	4.51	4.72
	1.52	4.59	4.74
	1.47	4.55	5.04
	1.48	4.6	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.95)	4.57 ↑ (3.85)	4.82 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Regensburg
61.1%

Draw
20%

Bayern Hof
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

23.7%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

22.2%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Regensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortuna Regensburg's performance.

Bayern Hof has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bayern Hof might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Regensburg than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortuna Regensburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Hof than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayern Hof could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 1 - 0, Sarajlic J. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Regensburg
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
11.10.24	Neudrossenfeld - Fortuna Regensburg	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Fortuna Regensburg - ATSV Erlangen	5:0 ✺
28.09.24	Fortuna Regensburg - Würzburger FV	6:0 ✺
24.09.24	Kornburg - Fortuna Regensburg	2:3 ✺
21.09.24	Gebenbach - Fortuna Regensburg	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWWWW
- SpVgg Bayern Hof
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
12.10.24	Bayern Hof - Ingolstadt II	1:3 ✺
06.10.24	Eichstätt - Bayern Hof	3:0 ✺
03.10.24	Bayern Hof - Weiden	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Abtswind - Bayern Hof	3:1 ✺
20.09.24	Bayern Hof - Cham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
25.11.23	Bayern Hof - Fortuna Regensburg	1:2
05.08.23	Fortuna Regensburg - Bayern Hof	1:2

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