Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie Women - Round 18

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Fortuna Sittard Stadion (Sittard)

Referee: Walthuis K. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1


	Fortuna Sittard		Excelsior

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.5	3.7
	1.81	3.55	3.8
	1.8	3.69	3.82	Watch
	1.83	3.4	3.7
	1.78	3.58	3.89
	1.81	3.55	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.67)	3.55 ↓ (3.71)	3.79 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Sittard
50.4%

Draw
25.6%

Excelsior
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

24.6%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

23.9%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Sittard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Fortuna Sittard - Excelsior Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dinkla C. (G) 2. van Koot M. (C) 3. Stoop N. 14. Vijfhuizen S. 26. Kopp I. 10. Eijken L. 24. van Wershoven R. 8. van Heeswijk A. 11. Dekker I. 7. Lindfors V. 9. Prins F.	1. van der Klooster A. (G) 17. Vrij N. 4. Helderman Y. 2. De With L. 25. Mollink Y. 22. Homan C. 3. Westerink M. 9. Ellouzi S. 7. Breewel D. 29. Lont D. 11. Martina S.
Substitutes
21. Arons S. 5. Hilhorst D. 6. Mulder N. 19. Peereboom S. 17. Pietersma F. 23. Stauffenberg B. 22. Thijs H. (G) 15. Walsem v. I.	23. de Ridder R. 20. Frankena S. (G) 6. Goretkiova A. 43. Hardiek L. 16. Lammers B. 32. van der Eijk F. 18. van Houwelingen M.
Coaches
van Lieshout G.	Kreugel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', van Heeswijk A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Kopp I. ↓, Peereboom S. ↑,
66', Breewel D. ↓, van der Eijk F. ↑,
66', Lont D. ↓, Goretkiova A. ↑,
68', van Wershoven R. ↓, Arons S. ↑,
68', Dekker I. ↓, Hilhorst D. ↑,
85', Lindfors V. ↓, Walsem v. I. ↑,
90+4', van Koot M. 🟨,
90+5', Ellouzi S. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 9 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 4.

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Fortuna Sittard is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 23:4 (average 3.8:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna Sittard won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:1 (average 4:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Sittard Women
Dutch KNVB Beker Women
15.03.25	Saestum - Fortuna Sittard	3:2 penalties ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
08.03.25	Utrecht - Fortuna Sittard	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Fortuna Sittard - Ajax	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker Women
15.02.25	Fortuna Sittard - Ter Leede	3:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
09.02.25	AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLWL
- Excelsior Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
09.03.25	Excelsior - ADO Den Haag	0:4 ✺
01.03.25	Zwolle - Excelsior	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker Women
15.02.25	Excelsior - Feyenoord	2:4 ET ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
09.02.25	Excelsior - Utrecht	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Heerenveen - Excelsior	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie Women
23.11.24	Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard	1:1
21.04.24	Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard	2:4
Dutch KNVB Beker Women
17.04.24	Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard	0:5
Dutch Eredivisie Women
01.10.23	Fortuna Sittard - Excelsior	5:0
24.03.23	Fortuna Sittard - Excelsior	3:1
04.11.22	Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard	0:5

Fortuna Sittard - Excelsior: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide