The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AZ Alkmaar 64%
Draw 21.5%
Fortuna Sittard 14.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.9%
20.4%
15.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.6%
19%
14.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
The ML Model estimate for Fortuna Sittard aligns with the current prediction.
AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Booms N. (G) 5. Mol C. 6. Colin I. 23. Stoop M. 2. Caprino G. 3. De Ridder D. 11. Kroese F. 10. van Lunteren D. (C) 22. Thomas K. 8. de Vette M. 14. Op De Weegh B. A.
1. Dinkla C. (G) 2. van Koot M. (C) 14. Vijfhuizen S. 18. van Berlo M. 24. van Wershoven R. 26. Kopp I. 8. van Heeswijk A. 21. Arons S. 11. Dekker I. 7. Lindfors V. 9. Prins F.
Substitutes
12. Blom R. 18. Boukakar R. 31. Copier F. (G) 15. Groot P. 9. Spaan F. 20. van Bentum M. 21. Van Uden J. 4. Woons K. 17. Zijp I.
10. Eijken L. 5. Hilhorst D. 19. Peereboom S. 17. Pietersma F. 23. Stauffenberg B. 22. Thijs H. (G) 15. Walsem v. I.
Coaches
de Vogel W.
van Lieshout G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Kroese F. ⚽,
32', van Wershoven R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', van Berlo M. ↓, Stauffenberg B. ↑,
46', Arons S. ↓, Eijken L. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, van Lunteren D. ⚽,
67', De Ridder D. ↓, Woons K. ↑,
77', Colin I. ↓, Spaan F. ↑,
77', Kroese F. ↓, Boukakar R. ↑,
77', Op De Weegh B. A. ↓, van Bentum M. ↑,
81', Lindfors V. ↓, Hilhorst D. ↑,
81', Dekker I. ↓, Peereboom S. ↑,
90+1', Thomas K. ↓, Zijp I. ↑,
Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 and 8).
AZ Alkmaar has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Fortuna Sittard is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
AZ Alkmaar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match AZ Alkmaar is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches AZ Alkmaar won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).
Including matches at home between the teams AZ Alkmaar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0