The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fortuna Sittard 65.2%
Draw 20.5%
Telstar 14.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.3%
22%
17.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
15.8%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Telstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-22%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortuna Sittard that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Telstar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fortuna Sittard - Telstar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dinkla C. (G) 2. van Koot M. (C) 14. Vijfhuizen S. 3. Stoop N. 24. van Wershoven R. 10. Eijken L. 7. Lindfors V. 8. van Heeswijk A. 9. Prins F. 26. Kopp I. 5. Hilhorst D.
1. Steen K. (G) 20. Tiebie T. 3. Hermans F. (C) 2. Donker P. 7. Verhoeve S. 21. Berrevoets N. 22. Khanchouch Y. 4. Takeshige A. 14. Nottet I. 25. Booms I. 10. Kira C.
Substitutes
21. Arons S. 11. Dekker I. 6. Mulder N. 19. Peereboom S. 17. Pietersma F. 23. Stauffenberg B. 22. Thijs H. (G) 18. van Berlo M. 15. Walsem v. I.
15. Daalman E. 8. Gomez I. 11. Hassani S. 17. Lagcher M. 5. Ridder N. 16. Rispens M. (G) 18. Vader J. 12. van de Pol P. 19. Vis L.
Coaches
van Lieshout G.
Engelkes E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Prins F. ⚽, Lindfors V. (A),
39', Tiebie T. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Hilhorst D. ↓, Dekker I. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Dekker I. ⚽, Prins F. (A),
65', Booms I. ↓, Vis L. ↑,
65', Nottet I. ↓, Lagcher M. ↑,
67', Hermans F. 🟨,
70', Stoop N. ↓, van Berlo M. ↑,
70', Prins F. ↓, Walsem v. I. ↑,
70', Eijken L. ↓, Arons S. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Dekker I. ⚽,
78', Kopp I. ↓, Pietersma F. ↑,
78', 4 - 0, Dekker I. ⚽,
79', Kira C. ↓, Vader J. ↑,
79', Khanchouch Y. ↓, Hassani S. ↑,
89', 5 - 0, Lindfors V. ⚽, Arons S. (A),
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 12).
Recent matches Fortuna Sittard is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Telstar has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recently Telstar have a series of home games.
In this match Fortuna Sittard is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 28:5 (average 5.6:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna Sittard won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 4.5:1.5).