Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 9

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday


	Forward		Kongahälla

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	1.88
	3.6	3.75	1.83
	3.39	3.84	1.79
	3.41	3.86	1.79
	3.49	3.8	1.83
	3.6	3.75	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (4.42)	3.77 ↑ (3.75)	1.83 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forward
26.3%

Draw
24.1%

Kongahälla
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

24.2%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

23.8%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forward's performance.

Kongahälla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kongahälla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forward that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongahälla than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kongahälla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Forward - Kongahälla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Kjellstrom G. (Pen),
22', 0 - 2, Hegab R. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Ibrahim J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 1 - 3, Cruz M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Forward is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kongahälla is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kongahälla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kongahälla will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Forward
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
18.05.24	Gauthiod - Forward	1:1 ✺
12.05.24	Forward - Herrestads	0:1 ✺
04.05.24	Kumla - Forward	4:4 ✺
27.04.24	Forward - Vänersborgs FK	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	Motala - Forward	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTLL
- IK Kongahälla
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
17.05.24	Kongahälla - Vänersborgs IF	3:0 ✺
09.05.24	Säffle - Kongahälla	1:4 ✺
05.05.24	Lidkoping - Kongahälla	0:1 ✺
26.04.24	Kongahälla - Gauthiod	1:1 ✺
19.04.24	Herrestads - Kongahälla	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWTT

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