Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 23

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Fossombrone		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.1	1.78
	4.76	3.24	1.7
	3.8	3.1	1.8
	4.75	3.13	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↓ (4.91)	3.14 ↓ (3.54)	1.75 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fossombrone
20.5%

Draw
28.4%

Sambenedettese
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

25.8%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

25.3%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fossombrone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sambenedettese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fossombrone - Sambenedettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Fossombrone is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sambenedettese is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sambenedettese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sambenedettese is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fossombrone won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fossombrone
Italian Serie D - Group F
11.02.24	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Fossombrone	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	United Riccione - Fossombrone	3:1 ✺
28.01.24	Fossombrone - Real Monterotondo	3:0 ✺
14.01.24	Fano - Fossombrone	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Fossombrone - Avezzano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLWTT
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
04.02.24	Sambenedettese - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	3:0 ✺
27.01.24	Fano - Sambenedettese	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Sambenedettese - Avezzano	3:1 ✺
14.01.24	Tivoli Calcio - Sambenedettese	2:2 ✺
07.01.24	Sambenedettese - Sora	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
15.10.23	Sambenedettese - Fossombrone	2:2

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