The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sambenedettese 67%
Draw 21.6%
Polisportiva Vastogirardi 11.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.7%
20%
11.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.7%
18.9%
10.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Polisportiva Vastogirardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sambenedettese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polisportiva Vastogirardi than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Sambenedettese is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Vastogirardi is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Vastogirardi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Sambenedettese is indisputable favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sambenedettese won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Sambenedettese won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.