Match Info

ChNL - Round 4

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Rudolfa Labaje (Trinec)

Referee: Orel P. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CT sport, Oneplay
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Fotbal Třinec		Ústí nad Labem

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2
	3.30	3.50	1.88
	3.05	3.35	2	Watch
	3.41	3.93	2.02
	3.18	3.95	1.99
	3.05	3.85	1.88
	3.19	3.68	1.94	Watch
	3.05	3.45	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (3.01)	3.64 ↑ (3.3)	1.96 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fotbal Třinec
28.7%

Draw
25%

Ústí nad Labem
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

27.6%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.5%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fotbal Třinec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ústí nad Labem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fotbal Třinec than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ústí nad Labem than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.8%	88.2%

Fotbal Třinec - Ústí nad Labem Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ústí nad Labem (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ústí nad Labem will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Murin R. (G) 9. Bolf J. 13. Brak V. 26. Cienciala L. 25. Dedic R. (C) 4. Helebrand M. 24. Omasta T. 10. Samiec M. 33. Sehic E. 2. Simersky D. 29. Skwarczek M.	91. Holy T. (G) 3. Brezina D. 10. Cerny D. 9. Do Marcolino F. 23. Idumbo-Muzambo F. 22. Kott T. 14. Moulis P. 8. Peterka J. (C) 7. Richter D. 15. Ullman O. 12. Yameogo B.
Substitutes
14. Abdoulkarim M. 22. Adamuska J. (G) 16. Agbo C. 20. Cerny M. 27. Dadak L. 21. Machuca O. 7. Nguyen A. 17. Obuch M. 15. Vlachovsky M. 11. Zdrazil L. 12. Zinhasovic N.	17. Berelidze T. 21. Bzura J. 18. Diarra Y. 77. Fantis A. 19. Goj P. 1. Nemec D. (G) 11. Novotny F. 6. Osaghae S. 51. Savic L. (G) 28. Simons J.
Coaches
Luhovy L.	Oulehla D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Helebrand M. 🟨,
64', Samiec M. ↓, Agbo C. ↑,
64', Omasta T. ↓, Abdoulkarim M. ↑,
68', Yameogo B. 🟨,
71', Richter D. 🟥,
75', Idumbo-Muzambo F. ↓, Fantis A. ↑,
75', Do Marcolino F. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
75', Cerny D. ↓, Osaghae S. ↑,
77', Ullman O. 🟨,
81', Moulis P. ↓, Bzura J. ↑,
81', Cienciala L. ↓, Cerny M. ↑,
86', Skwarczek M. ↓, Machuca O. ↑,
89', Bolf J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 2.

Recent form of Třinec has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ústí nad Labem is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ústí nad Labem is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Třinec won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Usti nad Labem	9	5	3	1	15:8	7	18
15	Trinec	9	1	4	4	10:17	-7	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fotbal Třinec
Czech Division 2
07.08.26	Slavia Prague B - Fotbal Třinec	3:2 ✺
01.08.26	Fotbal Třinec - Vysočina Jihlava	0:0 ✺
24.07.26	Prostějov - Fotbal Třinec	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	GKS Tychy - Fotbal Třinec	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Fotbal Třinec - Unie Hlubina	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTTL
- FK Ústí nad Labem
Czech Division 2
07.08.26	Ústí nad Labem - Arsenal Česká Lípa	3:3 ✺
01.08.26	Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž - Ústí nad Labem	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Ústí nad Labem - Kladno	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Ústí nad Labem - Dukla Prague	2:2 ✺
03.07.26	Jablonec - Ústí nad Labem	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Czech Division 2
14.05.22	Ústí nad Labem - Fotbal Třinec	3:2
24.07.21	Fotbal Třinec - Ústí nad Labem	2:3
05.05.21	Fotbal Třinec - Ústí nad Labem	1:0
28.11.20	Ústí nad Labem - Fotbal Třinec	0:1
28.06.20	Ústí nad Labem - Fotbal Třinec	3:3
26.10.19	Fotbal Třinec - Ústí nad Labem	0:1
02.03.19	Fotbal Třinec - Ústí nad Labem	1:2

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