Match Info

ChNL - Round 3

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Town Stadium Usti (Usti nad Labem)

Referee: Stary D. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Chnliga.tv
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ústí nad Labem		Arsenal Česká Lípa

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.50	4.10
	1.70	3.50	4.00
	1.62	3.65	4.40	Watch
	1.82	3.90	3.96
	1.72	3.91	4.32	Watch
	1.77	3.85	3.90
	1.78	3.66	4.28	Watch
	1.70	3.55	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.52)	3.69 ↓ (4.08)	4.12 ↓ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ústí nad Labem
53%

Draw
24.8%

Arsenal Česká Lípa
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

22.2%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

21.5%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ústí nad Labem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ústí nad Labem's form might have worsened.

Arsenal Česká Lípa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ústí nad Labem than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ústí nad Labem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Česká Lípa than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Ústí nad Labem - Arsenal Česká Lípa Predictions

Users Predictions: Ústí nad Labem will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Holy T. (G) 3. Brezina D. 10. Cerny D. 9. Do Marcolino F. 23. Idumbo-Muzambo F. 22. Kott T. 14. Moulis P. 8. Peterka J. (C) 7. Richter D. 15. Ullman O. 12. Yameogo B.	99. Vliegen O. (G) 20. Blecha F. 10. Cervenka M. 8. Dudl V. 45. Havelka F. 22. Kouril M. (C) 2. Masek D. 14. Ondracek A. 37. Schon P. 4. Vlk M. 18. Zezulka O.
Substitutes
17. Berelidze T. 21. Bzura J. 18. Diarra Y. 77. Fantis A. 19. Goj P. 1. Nemec D. (G) 11. Novotny F. 6. Osaghae S. 95. Rudenkyi A. 51. Savic L. (G)	11. Dufek L. 27. Edeh J. 7. Haitl P. 21. Kaza F. 1. Novak R. (G) 19. Simon M. 17. Slanina P. 13. Stovicek J. (G) 23. Vencl O. 24. Vostrel J. 44. Zouhar A.
Coaches
Oulehla D.	Mathauser P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Idumbo-Muzambo F. ⚽,
28', Dudl V. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Idumbo-Muzambo F. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Do Marcolino F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Cervenka M. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
46', Vlk M. ↓, Haitl P. ↑,
57', Masek D. ↓, Dufek L. ↑,
58', Ullman O. 🟨,
61', Do Marcolino F. ↓, Fantis A. ↑,
61', Ullman O. ↓, Goj P. ↑,
62', Brezina D. ↓, Novotny F. ↑,
67', Blecha F. ↓, Vostrel J. ↑,
71', Haitl P. 🟨,
73', 3 - 1, Dufek L. ⚽,
75', Idumbo-Muzambo F. ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
77', 3 - 2, Goj P. (Own goal),
81', 3 - 3, Vostrel J. ⚽,
81', Richter D. ↓, Osaghae S. ↑,
82', Kott T. 🟨,
82', Dufek L. 🟨,
84', Dudl V. ↓, Kaza F. ↑,
90+3', Simon M. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Ústí nad Labem is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ústí nad Labem won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:2. (average 3.2:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ústí nad Labem won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:1. (average 4:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Usti nad Labem	10	5	3	2	17:11	6	18
14	FK Ceska Lipa	10	2	3	5	11:18	-7	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ústí nad Labem
Czech Division 2
01.08.26	Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž - Ústí nad Labem	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Ústí nad Labem - Kladno	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Ústí nad Labem - Dukla Prague	2:2 ✺
03.07.26	Jablonec - Ústí nad Labem	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Slovan Liberec - Ústí nad Labem	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWTTL
- Arsenal Česká Lípa
Czech Division 2
02.08.26	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Slavia Prague B	1:1 ✺
24.07.26	Dukla Prague - Arsenal Česká Lípa	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Pisek	2:2 ✺
08.07.26	Varnsdorf - Arsenal Česká Lípa	0:6 ✺
Czech 3 CFL Play Offs
13.06.26	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Kladno	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech CFL Group B
15.03.25	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Ústí nad Labem	1:3
16.08.24	Ústí nad Labem - Arsenal Česká Lípa	5:0
12.04.24	Ústí nad Labem - Arsenal Česká Lípa	3:1
15.09.23	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Ústí nad Labem	0:1
Club Friendly
26.07.23	Ústí nad Labem - Arsenal Česká Lípa	4:0

Ústí nad Labem - Arsenal Česká Lípa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide