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Current Win Probability
Fotbal Třinec 21%
Draw 21.2%
Hradec Králové 57.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.8%
22.3%
50.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
22.2%
50.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fotbal Třinec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fotbal Třinec's form might have worsened.
Hradec Králové has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hradec Králové's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fotbal Třinec than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fotbal Třinec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hradec Králové than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hradec Králové, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
Hradec Králové will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Třinec (votes: 5 - 50%). Hradec Králové (votes: 5 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Adamuska J. (G) 16. Agbo C. 13. Brak V. 4. Charles S. 27. Dadak L. 20. Kowalczyk T. 11. Malek M. 6. Nguyen A. 10. Samiec M. (C) 15. Vlachovsky M. 12. Zinhasovic N.
20. Vagner M. (G) 30. Chvatal J. 5. Cihak F. (C) 11. Dancak S. 34. Elbel J. 77. Kubr L. 17. Mihalik O. 6. Pilar V. 19. Sloncik T. 8. Sojka A. 7. Uhrincat J.
Substitutes
9. Bolf J. 26. Cienciala L. 25. Dedic R. 5. Ivanovic S. 23. Krakovcik M. 21. Machuca O. 1. Murin R. (G) 24. Omasta T. 7. Slamena P.
25. Cech F. 16. Darida V. 14. Hodek J. 26. Horak D. 28. Kucera J. 2. Ludvicek D. 4. Petrasek T. 58. Vlkanova A. 12. Zadrazil A. (G)
Coaches
Hejdusek T.
Horejs D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Mihalik O. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Pilar V. ⚽, Dancak S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
58', Kowalczyk T. ↓, Omasta T. ↑,
58', Malek M. ↓, Cienciala L. ↑,
58', Nguyen A. ↓, Dedic R. ↑,
58', Brak V. ↓, Krakovcik M. ↑,
60', Cihak F. 🟨,
64', Mihalik O. ↓, Kucera J. ↑,
64', Dancak S. ↓, Hodek J. ↑,
67', Agbo C. 🟨,
69', Cihak F. ↓, Cech F. ↑,
69', Sloncik T. ↓, Vlkanova A. ↑,
72', Agbo C. ↓, Slamena P. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Cienciala L. ⚽, Vlachovsky M. (A),
82', Pilar V. ↓, Darida V. ↑,
82', Kubr L. ↓, Ludvicek D. ↑,
85', Darida V. 🟨,
86', 1 - 3, Sojka A. ⚽,
88', 2 - 3, Omasta T. ⚽,
90', Hejdusek T. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 3, Slamena P. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
99', Dadak L. 🟨,
100', Zinhasovic N. ↓, Machuca O. ↑,
111', Vlachovsky M. ↓, Bolf J. ↑,
117', Chvatal J. 🟨,
120+1', 3 - 4, Darida V. (Pen),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 0.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
In this match, Hradec Králové is a strong favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:25. (average 0.8:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Třinec won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
Watch
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Adamuska J. (G) 
Agbo C. 
Chvatal J. 
Ivanovic S. 
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