Match Info

Besta deild Women - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Fram		Valur

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.80	1.80
	3.35	3.8	1.81	Watch
	3.44	4.09	1.8
	3.4	4.16	1.81	Watch
	3.35	4	1.75
	3.39	4.58	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.5)	4.07 ↑ (3.35)	1.81 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fram
27.1%

Draw
22.4%

Valur
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

26.3%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

25.8%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fram has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fram's form might have worsened.

Valur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valur's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fram than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fram, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valur than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fram - Valur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Orkus A. (G) 11. Brookelynn E. 6. Clausen K. 23. Gilmore I. 32. Hamlett T. 36. Helgadottir H. 19. Johannsdottir S. S. 14. Jonasdottir H. (C) 7. Olafsdottir A. 17. Vilhjalmsdottir K. 4. Young E.	1. Magnusdottir T. (G) 8. Arnarsdottir A. 4. Einarsdottir H. 5. Eiriksdottir B. 18. Eiriksdottir M. (C) 23. Hawkins E. 6. Hjalmarsdottir K. D. 21. Hlynsdottir L. 14. Jonsdottir R. 28. Kristinsdottir K. 16. Kristinsdottir M.
Substitutes
8. Arnardottir K. 25. Barboza K. 9. Heidarsdottir H. 22. Helgadottir H. 20. Hreinsdottir F. 18. Ingadottir J. 33. Oladottir T. (G) 3. Unnarsdottir R. 10. Unnarsdottir U.	13. Atladottir N. 25. Gunnarsdottir G. 12. Gustavsdottir E. (G) 37. Ingolfsdottir L. 36. Matthiasdottir A. 9. Sigurdardottir S. 26. Tryggvadottir A. K. 7. Tryggvadottir I. 2. Valsdottir S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Clausen K. 🟨,
32', Hamlett T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', 0 - 1, Hawkins E. ⚽,
63', Hawkins E. ↓, Gunnarsdottir G. ↑,
63', Helgadottir H. ↓, Unnarsdottir U. ↑,
63', Vilhjalmsdottir K. ↓, Hreinsdottir F. ↑,
69', Olafsdottir A. ↓, Heidarsdottir H. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Arnarsdottir A. ⚽, Einarsdottir H. (A),
78', Young E. 🟨,
81', 🟨,
82', Brookelynn E. ↓, Helgadottir H. ↑,
82', Jonasdottir H. ↓, Ingadottir J. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Johannsdottir S. S. ⚽,

Preview

Fram has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Valur has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Valur is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Fram has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:5 (averaging 1.8:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fram against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:4 goals (averaging 2.3:1.3 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fram Reykjavik Women
Icelandic Besta deild Women
25.09.26	Thor Akureyri - Fram	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Fram - Vikingur	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Vestmannaeyjar - Fram	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	Fram - Stjarnan	3:2 ✺
20.08.26	Grindavík Njarðvík - Fram	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WTWWL
- Valur Reykjavik Women
Icelandic Besta deild Women
25.09.26	Valur - Vikingur	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Valur - Thor Akureyri	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Grindavík Njarðvík - Valur	1:4 ✺
30.08.26	Valur - FH Hafnarfjordur	2:2 ✺
21.08.26	Thor Akureyri - Valur	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta deild Women
29.07.26	Fram - Valur	4:1
20.05.26	Valur - Fram	0:0
20.09.25	Fram - Valur	1:0
15.06.25	Valur - Fram	1:2
Icelandic Cup Women
12.05.25	Fram - Valur	2:3 ET

Fram - Valur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide