The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valur 45.2%
Draw 25.5%
Thor Akureyri 29.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
26%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
26.2%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valur's performance.
Thor Akureyri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thor Akureyri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valur than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valur that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thor Akureyri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Valur - Thor Akureyri Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Magnusdottir T. (G) 8. Arnarsdottir A. 4. Einarsdottir H. 5. Eiriksdottir B. 18. Eiriksdottir M. (C) 23. Hawkins E. 6. Hjalmarsdottir K. D. 21. Hlynsdottir L. 14. Jonsdottir R. 16. Kristinsdottir M. 7. Tryggvadottir I.
12. Doherty Augur A. (G) 14. Arnadottir M. 11. Asgrimsdottir A. (C) 6. Birgisdottir H. 2. Helgadottir A. 5. Hrafnsdottir K. 4. Johannesdottir M. 22. Jonsdottir H. 28. Lapomarda L. 3. Moore E. 9. Sigurgeirsdottir K.
Substitutes
13. Atladottir N. 34. Barkardottir K. 25. Gunnarsdottir G. 28. Kristinsdottir K. 36. Matthiasdottir A. 9. Sigurdardottir S. 26. Tryggvadottir A. K. 2. Valsdottir S. 33. Varis V. (G)
7. Arnadottir A. 25. Asgeirsdottir E. 15. Dolina-Sokolowska E. 8. Finnbogadottir B. 1. Johannsdottir H. (G) 20. Kristjansdottir H. 19. Stefansdottir A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 1, Arnadottir M. ⚽,
63', Tryggvadottir I. ↓, Kristinsdottir K. ↑,
65', 🟨,
65', Jonsdottir H. ↓, Arnadottir A. ↑,
65', 🟨,
70', Einarsdottir H. ↓, Sigurdardottir S. ↑,
74', Helgadottir A. ↓, Kristjansdottir H. ↑,
80', Kristinsdottir M. ↓, Atladottir N. ↑,
84', Sigurgeirsdottir K. ↓, Finnbogadottir B. ↑,
84', Birgisdottir H. ↓, Stefansdottir A. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 4.
Valur is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Thor has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Valur has recorded 14 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 41:9 (averaging 2.4:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Valur against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 23:2 goals (averaging 2.9:0.3 per game).