Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 9

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Francana		Rio Branco de Americana

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.88	2.45
	2.9	2.87	2.44
	2.89	2.95	2.45	Watch
	3	2.88	2.3
	3.25	3.14	2.26
	2.63	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.67)	2.94 ↓ (3.03)	2.42 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francana
31.3%

Draw
31%

Rio Branco de Americana
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

30.2%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

29.8%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Rio Branco de Americana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francana than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Branco de Americana than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Francana - Rio Branco de Americana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Pablo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 12)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Francana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Francana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Branco de Americana - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.58%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Francana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
21.02.26	Bandeirante - Francana	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Francana - EC São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	União Barbarense - Francana	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Francana - União Suzano	3:0 ✺
04.02.26	Francana - Desportivo Brasil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWW
- Rio Branco de Americana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
21.02.26	Rio Branco de Americana - Catanduva	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Desportivo Brasil - Rio Branco de Americana	1:1 ✺
11.02.26	Rio Branco de Americana - União São João	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Rio Branco de Americana - Paulista	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Rio Claro - Rio Branco de Americana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
05.02.25	Rio Branco de Americana - Francana	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
12.05.24	Francana - Rio Branco de Americana	1:2
04.05.24	Rio Branco de Americana - Francana	2:0
25.02.24	Francana - Rio Branco de Americana	3:0

Francana - Rio Branco de Americana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide