Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 9

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday


	Francana		XV de Jaú

	1	X	2
	2.26	2.85	3.25
	2.27	2.73	3.16
	2.29	2.93	3.23	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.2
	2.24	2.94	3.21
	2.26	2.85	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.87)	2.85 ↓ (3.06)	3.22 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francana
40%

Draw
31.8%

XV de Jaú
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

29.7%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

29.2%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francana's form might have worsened.

XV de Jaú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting XV de Jaú's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francana than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for XV de Jaú, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Francana - XV de Jaú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4).

Recent matches Francana is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

XV de Jaú is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Francana is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Francana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Francana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
15.02.25	Rio Preto - Francana	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Francana - Itapirense	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Rio Branco de Americana - Francana	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Lemense FC - Francana	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Francana - Atlético Monte Azul	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLTTT
- EC XV de Jaú
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
12.02.25	XV de Jaú - Desportivo Brasil	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Sertãozinho - XV de Jaú	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	XV de Jaú - Bandeirante	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Marília - XV de Jaú	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	XV de Jaú - Rio Branco de Americana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
28.01.24	XV de Jaú - Francana	1:0

Francana - XV de Jaú: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide