Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 4

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Bellslea Park (Fraserburgh)


	Fraserburgh		Cove Rangers

	1	X	2
	6.5	5.5	1.3
	5.25	4.33	1.44
	7.4	5.35	1.3
	10.22	5.96	1.26
	6.2	5.1	1.4	Watch
	7.4	5.2	1.27
	8.15	5.1	1.27
	6.8	5	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.24 ↑ (5.38)	5.19 ↑ (5.08)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fraserburgh
12.7%

Draw
17.7%

Cove Rangers
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

18%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

17.3%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fraserburgh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Cove Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fraserburgh than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Fraserburgh - Cove Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cove will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cove (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Oppong E. ⚽, White J. (A),
33', 0 - 2, Mahoney M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', White J. (Penalty Awarded),
57', 0 - 3, White J. (Penalty Awarded),
64', 0 - 4, Oladipo D. ⚽, Francis-Burrell A. (A),
90+1', 0 - 5, Barry M. ⚽, Maguire C. (A),

Preview

In recent outings, Fraserburgh has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cove is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Fraserburgh may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Cove holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Fraserburgh has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 0.7:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fraserburgh against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Cove Rangers ✔	5	4	0	1	17:6	11	12
32	Fraserburgh	5	1	1	3	5:18	-13	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fraserburgh
Scottish Highland League
19.09.26	Wick Academy - Fraserburgh	2:3 ✺
16.09.26	Fraserburgh - Formartine United	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.09.26	Elgin City - Fraserburgh	7:0 ✺
Scottish Highland League
05.09.26	Deveronvale - Fraserburgh	3:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
25.08.26	Fraserburgh - Aberdeen 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTLLT
- Cove Rangers
Scottish League One
19.09.26	Cove Rangers - Ross County	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Montrose - Cove Rangers	2:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.09.26	Cove Rangers - Dumbarton	6:1 ✺
Scottish League One
05.09.26	Cove Rangers - Alloa Athletic	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Hamilton Academical - Cove Rangers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Highland League
01.12.18	Fraserburgh - Cove Rangers	1:0
11.04.18	Fraserburgh - Cove Rangers	0:1
19.08.17	Cove Rangers - Fraserburgh	1:1

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