Match Info

League One - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: ZLX Stadium (Hamilton)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Solidsport TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Hamilton Academical		Cove Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	5.25
	1.53	3.90	4.75
	1.5	4.05	5.3
	1.52	4.45	5.4
	1.6	4.03	5.12	Watch
	1.5	4.4	5.05
	1.57	3.98	5.5	Watch
	1.51	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.56)	4.09 ↑ (3.79)	5.2 ↑ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
59.9%

Draw
22.4%

Cove Rangers
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

24%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

22.8%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Academical has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Cove Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Hamilton Academical - Cove Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lyness D. (G) 2. Comrie A. 16. Smutek K. 3. Gallacher T. 33. Hendrie S. (C) 8. MacDonald K. 17. Bannigan S. 6. Blues C. 7. Thomas D. 29. Ryan A. 27. McKinstry S.	1. Mutch R. (G) 2. Bisland L. 5. Souter M. 6. Mercer J. 7. Harrington R. 15. Darge A. 14. Chalmers J. 10. Barry M. 77. Maguire C. 26. White J. (C) 16. Teasdale J.
Substitutes
10. Bradley S. 21. Crookston G. 24. Eadie A. 12. Marks M. (G) 11. Orsi K. 5. Owens F. 22. Shiels D.	21. Demus B. (G) 20. Fraser A. 4. Lindo A. 9. Oladipo D. 18. Oppong E. 32. Parker L. 17. Stephen T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Ryan A. ⚽, McKinstry S. (A),
41', White J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Bannigan S. ↓, Crookston G. ↑,
70', Souter M. ↓, Lindo A. ↑,
70', Darge A. ↓, Oppong E. ↑,
71', Thomas D. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,
77', Maguire C. ↓, Oladipo D. ↑,
84', McKinstry S. ↓, Orsi K. ↑,
87', Hendrie S. 🟨,
90', Comrie A. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamilton won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Hamilton has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hamilton is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hamilton won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hamilton won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Hamilton: 13.09% Cove Rangers: 0.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hamilton	8	7	1	0	18:2	16	22
10	Cove Rangers	9	1	2	6	8:15	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish Challenge Cup
25.08.26	Hamilton Academical - Edinburgh City	0:1 ✺
Scottish League One
22.08.26	East Fife - Hamilton Academical	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Hamilton Academical - Airdrieonians	4:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
12.08.26	Hamilton Academical - Celtic B	1:3 ✺
Scottish League One
08.08.26	Hamilton Academical - Alloa Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTWLW
- Cove Rangers
Scottish Challenge Cup
25.08.26	Cove Rangers - Dundee United 2	2:0 ✺
Scottish League One
22.08.26	Cove Rangers - Peterhead	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	East Kilbride - Cove Rangers	3:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.08.26	Stirling Albion - Cove Rangers	4:2 ✺
Scottish League One
08.08.26	East Fife - Cove Rangers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
21.03.26	Cove Rangers - Hamilton Academical	2:2
24.01.26	Hamilton Academical - Cove Rangers	2:0
15.11.25	Cove Rangers - Hamilton Academical	2:1
30.08.25	Hamilton Academical - Cove Rangers	0:0
23.03.24	Cove Rangers - Hamilton Academical	1:3
13.01.24	Hamilton Academical - Cove Rangers	2:0
04.11.23	Cove Rangers - Hamilton Academical	1:0

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