Match Info

1st Division - Promotion Group - Round 30

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: Monjasa Park (Fredericia)

Referee: Svendsen F. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Fredericia		Hvidovre

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.5
	1.73	3.7	4
	1.8	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.87	4.27
	1.83	3.57	4.18	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.79	3.48	4.47	Watch
	1.8	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.9)	3.63 ↑ (3.6)	4.23 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredericia
52%

Draw
25.8%

Hvidovre
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

25.6%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

25.1%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredericia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Hvidovre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hvidovre than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Fredericia - Hvidovre Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Fredericia will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Hvidovre will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fredericia: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Hvidovre (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fredericia will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Fredericia (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Hvidovre (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Birkso V. (G) 14. Dahl A. 4. Kudsk J. 5. Rieper F. 12. Crone S. 13. Madsen W. 6. Winther F. 11. Opondo M. 7. Marcussen G. 21. Lindekilde J. 16. Bondergaard A.	1. Sander T. (G) 28. Jungvig N. 25. Kiilerich M. 2. Stenderup D. 30. Fredslund M. 4. Aliji Z. 8. Krogstad F. 23. Clausen N. 16. Adjei-Broni J. P. 24. Makienok S. 22. Smed A.
Substitutes
3. Andersen A. 97. Buch O. 19. Dall E. 9. Egelund P. 8. Jessen J. 17. Kristjansson D. F. 1. Lamhauge M. (G) 98. Mucolli A. 10. Simonsen E.	27. Andreasen M. 9. Hogh Jensen F. 15. Iljazovski A. 14. Jakobsen C. 26. Jensen E. 19. Johansen A. 18. Knudsen M. 29. Ravn A. (G) 10. Spelmann M.
Coaches
Hansen M.	Frandsen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Smed A. ⚽, Fredslund M. (A),
44', Aliji Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', Dahl A. ↓, Kristjansson D. F. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Opondo M. ⚽,
53', 2 - 1, Rieper F. ⚽, Madsen W. (A),
57', 3 - 1, Marcussen G. ⚽,
62', Bondergaard A. ↓, Egelund P. ↑,
62', Aliji Z. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
62', Krogstad F. ↓, Jakobsen C. ↑,
62', Adjei-Broni J. P. ↓, Jensen E. ↑,
62', Fredslund M. ↓, Spelmann M. ↑,
75', Winther F. ↓, Andersen A. ↑,
75', Lindekilde J. ↓, Simonsen E. ↑,
76', Smed A. ↓, Andreasen M. ↑,
77', 4 - 1, Simonsen E. ⚽, Egelund P. (A),
81', Marcussen G. ↓, Jessen J. ↑,
85', 5 - 1, Egelund P. ⚽, Andersen A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 0.

Fredericia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hvidovre has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Fredericia is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Fredericia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fredericia
Danish 1 Division
03.05.25	OB Odense - Fredericia	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Fredericia - Esbjerg	1:1 ✺
22.04.25	Esbjerg - Fredericia	0:2 ✺
16.04.25	Hvidovre - Fredericia	0:0 ✺
10.04.25	Fredericia - Horsens	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTWTW
- Hvidovre IF
Danish 1 Division
03.05.25	Hvidovre - Kolding IF	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	OB Odense - Hvidovre	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Hvidovre - OB Odense	2:1 ✺
16.04.25	Hvidovre - Fredericia	0:0 ✺
11.04.25	Kolding IF - Hvidovre	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
16.04.25	Hvidovre - Fredericia	0:0
27.02.25	Hvidovre - Fredericia	1:0
25.08.24	Fredericia - Hvidovre	0:1
29.10.22	Hvidovre - Fredericia	3:2
18.09.22	Fredericia - Hvidovre	1:2
18.05.22	Hvidovre - Fredericia	3:1
01.04.22	Fredericia - Hvidovre	2:1

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