Match Info

1st Division - Promotion Group - Round 25

Date: 10 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Monjasa Park (Fredericia)

Referee: Andersen N. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Fredericia		Horsens

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.3
	2.55	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.59	3.18	2.74	Watch
	2.6	3.22	2.71	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.98)	3.21 ↓ (3.4)	2.67 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredericia
35.9%

Draw
29.1%

Horsens
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

27.7%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

27.2%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredericia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Horsens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Horsens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Fredericia - Horsens Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Horsens will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Horsens: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Fredericia (votes: 1 - 20%). Horsens (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 60%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Fredericia (2.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Fredericia (3.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Fredericia (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Fredericia (votes: 4 - 50%). Horsens (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Birkso V. (G) 14. Dahl A. 4. Kudsk J. 5. Rieper F. 12. Crone S. 13. Madsen W. 17. Kristjansson D. F. 8. Jessen J. 7. Marcussen G. 11. Opondo M. 9. Egelund P.	23. Djukic F. (G) 25. Kallesoe M. 4. Hausner S. 34. Roslyng F. 12. Tape C. 18. Christensen F. 20. Lusavec K. 14. Madsen J. 22. Frederiksen E. 10. Ngabo S. 21. Karikari K.
Substitutes
3. Andersen A. 97. Buch O. 20. Haarbo D. 22. Huldahl M. 1. Lamhauge M. (G) 98. Mucolli A. 10. Simonsen E. 2. Thogersen D. 6. Winther F.	3. Doua S. 17. Herdonsson A. 31. Hoff A. (G) 9. Hyseni M. 15. Kjaergaard O. 24. Kolskogen O. 8. Kouassi O. 16. Moro S. A. 27. Ouorou Y.
Coaches
Hansen M.	Nielsen D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Frederiksen E. ⚽, Ngabo S. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Marcussen G. ⚽, Madsen W. (A),
19', Kallesoe M. ↓, Doua S. ↑,
24', 2 - 1, Egelund P. ⚽, Crone S. (A),
33', Egelund P. 🟨,
37', 3 - 1, Marcussen G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Jessen J. ↓, Simonsen E. ↑,
50', 4 - 1, Egelund P. ⚽, Simonsen E. (A),
56', Ngabo S. ↓, Ouorou Y. ↑,
56', Madsen J. ↓, Moro S. A. ↑,
65', Egelund P. ↓, Winther F. ↑,
74', Karikari K. ↓, Hyseni M. ↑,
74', Lusavec K. ↓, Herdonsson A. ↑,
81', Madsen W. ↓, Buch O. ↑,
81', Opondo M. ↓, Mucolli A. ↑,
84', Marcussen G. ↓, Haarbo D. ↑,
86', 5 - 1, Mucolli A. ⚽, Simonsen E. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fredericia won 2.

Recent matches Fredericia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Horsens is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Fredericia won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25:32 (average 1.3:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Fredericia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:14 (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fredericia
Danish 1 Division
05.04.25	Fredericia - OB Odense	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Kolding IF - Fredericia	0:1 ✺
14.03.25	Vendsyssel - Fredericia	0:1 ✺
07.03.25	Fredericia - Hillerød	0:2 ✺
27.02.25	Hvidovre - Fredericia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWLL
- AC Horsens
Danish 1 Division
06.04.25	Horsens - Hvidovre	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	OB Odense - Horsens	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Horsens - Esbjerg	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Hobro - Horsens	1:3 ✺
28.02.25	Vendsyssel - Horsens	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
05.10.24	Fredericia - Horsens	1:2
21.07.24	Horsens - Fredericia	1:3
10.11.23	Horsens - Fredericia	1:1
22.08.23	Fredericia - Horsens	2:0
23.05.22	Fredericia - Horsens	0:4
10.04.22	Horsens - Fredericia	0:0
Club Friendly
19.02.22	Horsens - Fredericia	0:1

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