Match Info

DENMARK: 1ST DIVISION - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 23

Date: 31 March 2023, Friday

Location: Monjasa Park (Fredericia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Fredericia		Nykøbing

	1	X	2
	1.73	4	4.33	Watch
	1.71	3.7	4.1
	1.7	4.2	4.1
	1.75	4.26	4.16
				Watch
	1.72	4.05	4.5	Watch
	1.68	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.71)	3.99 ↑ (3.89)	4.23 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredericia
54.5%

Draw
23.4%

Nykøbing
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

24.1%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

25.3%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Nykøbing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	9.1%	27.3%

Fredericia - Nykøbing Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fredericia will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Nykøbing will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fredericia: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fredericia won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Fredericia is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Fredericia won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 40-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Fredericia won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fredericia
Danish 1 Division
18.03.23	Fredericia - Fremad Amager	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Fredericia	3:1 ✺
03.03.23	Fredericia - HB Køge	3:0 ✺
24.02.23	SønderjyskE - Fredericia	4:0 ✺
19.02.23	Fredericia - Hillerød	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLL
- Nykøbing FC
Danish 1 Division
18.03.23	SønderjyskE - Nykøbing	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Nykøbing - HB Køge	4:2 ✺
05.03.23	Hobro - Nykøbing	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Nykøbing - Helsingør	3:0 ✺
18.02.23	Hvidovre - Nykøbing	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
07.10.22	Fredericia - Nykøbing	0:1
23.07.22	Nykøbing - Fredericia	2:2
13.05.22	Fredericia - Nykøbing	5:1
30.04.22	Nykøbing - Fredericia	2:3
21.11.21	Fredericia - Nykøbing	3:2
01.08.21	Nykøbing - Fredericia	4:4
23.07.20	Fredericia - Nykøbing	2:2

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