Match Info

1st Division - Round 1

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Monjasa Park (Fredericia)

Referee: Tornberg Rasmussen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Fredericia		HB Køge

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.9	4.2
	1.62	3.90	4.50
	1.7	3.9	4.45
	1.78	3.9	4.44
	1.64	4.17	4.63	Watch
	1.75	3.8	4.4
	1.74	3.91	4.22	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.52)	3.9 ↓ (4.13)	4.37 ↓ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredericia
54.8%

Draw
23.9%

HB Køge
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

22.3%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fredericia's form might have worsened.

HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Fredericia - HB Køge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fredericia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Fredericia will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Birkso V. (G) 12. Crone S. 4. Kudsk J. 5. Rieper F. 14. Dahl A. 20. Haarbo D. 6. Winther F. 16. Dauerhoj L. 17. Thomsen N. 10. Simonsen E. (C) 11. Hansborg E.	1. Sommergaard N. (G) 23. Westergren M. 22. Jakobsen M. 6. Brodersen R. 24. Schutt M. 7. Jensen M. (C) 8. Romer M. 4. Hald S. 11. Warming M. 28. Larsen G. 9. Thomsen T.
Substitutes
19. Dall E. 31. Gulstorff Pedersen A. (G) 15. Ladefoged M. 13. Madsen W. 21. Vest O.	17. Achton L. 2. Bust L. 20. Figuigui I. 10. Jensen Tue C. 16. Mols C. (G) 18. Salah M. 19. Semovski E. 14. Sorensen V. 27. Stolshoj N.
Coaches
Hansen M.	Pedersen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Westergren M. ↓, Bust L. ↑,
37', Winther F. ↓, Dall E. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Hansborg E. ⚽, Crone S. (A),
55', 2 - 0, Rieper F. ⚽, Kudsk J. (A),
60', Simonsen E. ↓, Madsen W. ↑,
66', Warming M. 🟨,
68', 3 - 0, Madsen W. ⚽, Birkso V. (A),
74', Schutt M. ↓, Achton L. ↑,
74', Warming M. ↓, Semovski E. ↑,
79', Thomsen N. ↓, Ladefoged M. ↑,
79', Haarbo D. ↓, Vest O. ↑,
86', Larsen G. ↓, Stolshoj N. ↑,
86', Thomsen T. ↓, Figuigui I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 1.

Køge's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Køge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fredericia is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:26. (average 2.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fredericia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:11. (average 2.3:1.1).

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Fredericia: 13.79% Koge: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fredericia	9	3	5	1	12:6	6	14
11	Koge	9	1	4	4	11:17	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

HB Køge - the odds 5.3 are the expected chance of winning is 17.33%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fredericia
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Esbjerg - Fredericia	0:1 ✺
15.07.26	Fredericia - Mafra	3:2 ✺
Danish Superliga
17.05.26	Fredericia - Silkeborg IF	4:1 ✺
10.05.26	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Fredericia	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Fredericia - Copenhagen	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWLT
- HB Køge
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - HB Køge	Canceled ✺
11.07.26	HB Køge - Roskilde	1:0 ✺
03.07.26	Hvidovre - HB Køge	1:0 ✺
Danish 1 Division
30.05.26	Aalborg BK - HB Køge	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	HB Køge - Hobro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?WLLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
23.02.25	Fredericia - HB Køge	1:2
01.09.24	HB Køge - Fredericia	3:4
16.03.24	Fredericia - HB Køge	2:2
27.08.23	HB Køge - Fredericia	0:0
13.05.23	HB Køge - Fredericia	2:2
16.04.23	Fredericia - HB Køge	5:1
03.03.23	Fredericia - HB Køge	3:0

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