Match Info

Date: 1 November 2020, Sunday


	Frei Paulistano		Itabaiana

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.55
	2.3	3.2	2.7
	2.5	3	2.65
	2.55	3.09	2.83
	2.5	2.9	2.75
	2.48	3.14	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (3.04)	3.07 ↓ (3.14)	2.7 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frei Paulistano
36.7%

Draw
29.6%

Itabaiana
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

29.3%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

21.2%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frei Paulistano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Frei Paulistano's performance.

Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Itabaiana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frei Paulistano than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frei Paulistano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+22.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Itabaiana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Frei Paulistano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Itabaiana is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Frei Paulistano won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Frei Paulistano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Frei Paulistano
Brazilian Serie D
25.10.20	Central SC - Frei Paulistano	1:0 ✺
21.10.20	Frei Paulistano - ABC	0:1 ✺
18.10.20	ABC - Frei Paulistano	1:0 ✺
14.10.20	Frei Paulistano - Central SC	0:0 ✺
11.10.20	Itabaiana - Frei Paulistano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLTT
- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie D
26.10.20	Itabaiana - Vitória da Conquista	3:2 ✺
22.10.20	Potiguar - Itabaiana	2:2 ✺
18.10.20	Itabaiana - Potiguar	4:1 ✺
11.10.20	Itabaiana - Frei Paulistano	1:1 ✺
03.10.20	Jacyobá - Itabaiana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
11.10.20	Itabaiana - Frei Paulistano	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
08.08.20	Itabaiana - Frei Paulistano	2:0
05.02.20	Frei Paulistano - Itabaiana	2:1
20.04.19	Frei Paulistano - Itabaiana	3:1
13.04.19	Itabaiana - Frei Paulistano	1:2
09.03.19	Itabaiana - Frei Paulistano	0:1
03.02.18	Frei Paulistano - Itabaiana	0:0

Frei Paulistano - Itabaiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide