Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 15

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Freiberg		Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.05	4.25
	1.31	5.14	7.49	Watch
	1.64	3.88	4.27
	1.48	4.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.31)	4.39 ↓ (5.14)	5.38 ↓ (7.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiberg
61.4%

Draw
21.2%

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

17.8%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

16.1%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiberg's form might have worsened.

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Freiberg - Barockstadt Fulda Lehnerz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Kohl M. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Dittmann M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiberg won 1.

Recent form of Freiberg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Barockstadt's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Freiberg is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Freiberg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiberg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SGV Freiberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
25.10.25	Mainz II - Freiberg	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Freiberg - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Freiberg	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Freiberg - Homburg	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Stuttgarter Kickers - Freiberg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTTLT
- Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz
German Regionalliga Sudwest
26.10.25	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Homburg	3:3 ✺
18.10.25	Hessen Kassel - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Sandhausen	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Bayern Alzenau - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	1:4 ✺
30.09.25	Kickers Offenbach - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
22.03.25	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Freiberg	1:2
14.09.24	Freiberg - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	1:1
24.02.24	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Freiberg	1:0
19.08.23	Freiberg - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	0:4
27.05.23	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Freiberg	3:0
19.11.22	Freiberg - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	3:1

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