Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 34

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Bayern Alzenau		Freiberg

	1	X	2
	4.15	4.35	1.6
	4.15	4.5	1.6
	4.05	4.27	1.65
	4	3.8	1.65
	4.26	4.15	1.6
	5.06	4.24	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↓ (5.22)	4.22 ↓ (4.28)	1.6 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bayern Alzenau
21.3%

Draw
21.6%

Freiberg
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

21.3%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

20.6%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Alzenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Alzenau than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Freiberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bayern Alzenau - Freiberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Polauke P. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Sitter L. ⚽,
24', 1 - 2, Cerkez M. ⚽,
41', 2 - 2, Sitter L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 3 - 2, Boutakhrit J. ⚽,
76', 3 - 3, Bradara T. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2).

Bayern Alzenau is Relegated to

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Freiberg is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bayern Alzenau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Freiberg	10	5	5	0	26:11	15	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Alzenau
German Regionalliga Sudwest
09.05.26	Homburg - Bayern Alzenau	5:2 ✺
02.05.26	Bayern Alzenau - FSV Frankfurt	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Bayern Alzenau - Sandhausen	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Astoria Walldorf - Bayern Alzenau	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Bayern Alzenau - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLWL
- SGV Freiberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
09.05.26	Freiberg - Sandhausen	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Freiberg	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Freiberg - Mainz II	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Freiberg	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Freiberg - TSV Steinbach Haiger	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
15.11.25	Freiberg - Bayern Alzenau	0:0

Bayern Alzenau - Freiberg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide