Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 29

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Freiberg		TSV Steinbach Haiger

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.55	4.75
	1.54	4.6	4.82
	1.55	4.37	4.72
	1.53	4	4.75
	1.48	4.33	5.12
	1.48	4.46	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.39)	4.39 ↓ (4.73)	4.84 ↓ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiberg
60.3%

Draw
20.8%

TSV Steinbach Haiger
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

19.3%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

18.4%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiberg's form might have worsened.

TSV Steinbach Haiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSV Steinbach Haiger than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Freiberg - TSV Steinbach Haiger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Valpoort M. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Kauper O. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 1 - 2, Singer J. ⚽,
80', 1 - 3, Dacaj E. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiberg won 3.

Freiberg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Steinbach Haiger's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Freiberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Freiberg is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Freiberg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiberg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Freiberg	10	5	5	0	26:11	15	20
9	Steinbach Haiger	10	3	4	3	15:15	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SGV Freiberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
11.04.26	Homburg - Freiberg	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Freiberg - Stuttgarter Kickers	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Freiberg - Kickers Offenbach	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Bahlinger - Freiberg	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Freiberg - Astoria Walldorf	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWTW
- TSV Steinbach Haiger
German Regionalliga Sudwest
10.04.26	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Sandhausen	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	Bayern Alzenau - TSV Steinbach Haiger	3:4 ✺
20.03.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - TSV Steinbach Haiger	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Homburg	1:4 ✺
07.03.26	Stuttgarter Kickers - TSV Steinbach Haiger	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
11.10.25	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Freiberg	1:1
30.11.24	Freiberg - TSV Steinbach Haiger	4:0
03.08.24	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Freiberg	0:2
04.05.24	Freiberg - TSV Steinbach Haiger	1:1
28.10.23	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Freiberg	0:1
05.04.23	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Freiberg	4:0
24.09.22	Freiberg - TSV Steinbach Haiger	0:2

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