Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 7

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Freiburg II		Hoffenheim II

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.15
	2.9	3.75	2.15
	2.91	3.88	2.13
	2.74	3.81	2.17	Watch
	2.15	3.6	2.7
	2.86	3.58	2.14
	2.9	3.75	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.09)	3.7 ↑ (3.48)	2.23 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
33.7%

Draw
24.9%

Hoffenheim II
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26.2%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

25.6%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiburg II's form might have worsened.

Hoffenheim II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hoffenheim II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiburg II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim II than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoffenheim II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Freiburg II - Hoffenheim II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
11', 0 - 1, Behrens H. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Mokwa Ntusu D. ⚽,
37', 0 - 3, Rehus M. ⚽,
42', 0 - 4, Mokwa Ntusu D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 4, Amegnaglo D. ⚽,
59', 1 - 5, Behrens H. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg II won 3.

Freiburg II is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hoffenheim II is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Freiburg II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Freiburg II won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg II won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
30.08.24	Homburg - Freiburg II	2:2 ✺
25.08.24	Freiburg II - Freiberg	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Eintracht Frankfurt II - Freiburg II	1:5 ✺
11.08.24	Freiburg II - FSV Frankfurt	0:3 ✺
03.08.24	Hessen Kassel - Freiburg II	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWLW
- Hoffenheim II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
31.08.24	Freiberg - Hoffenheim II	1:3 ✺
28.08.24	Kickers Offenbach - Hoffenheim II	0:0 ✺
23.08.24	Hoffenheim II - FSV Frankfurt	2:3 ✺
11.08.24	Hoffenheim II - TSV Steinbach Haiger	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Göppinger - Hoffenheim II	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.07.23	Freiburg II - Hoffenheim II	0:3
German Regionalliga Sudwest
27.03.21	Freiburg II - Hoffenheim II	2:0
10.10.20	Hoffenheim II - Freiburg II	0:1
02.11.19	Hoffenheim II - Freiburg II	7:0
04.05.19	Freiburg II - Hoffenheim II	3:1
26.10.18	Hoffenheim II - Freiburg II	0:0
10.03.18	Hoffenheim II - Freiburg II	0:1

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