Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 33

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Freiburg II		Kickers Offenbach

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.7	3.15
	1.98	3.83	3.21
	2.01	3.63	3.19
	1.95	3.5	3.1
	1.95	3.64	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.45)	3.66 ↑ (3.52)	3.17 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
46.2%

Draw
24.9%

Kickers Offenbach
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

25.9%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

25.9%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Freiburg II's performance.

Kickers Offenbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kickers Offenbach might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Freiburg II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kickers Offenbach than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kickers Offenbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Freiburg II - Kickers Offenbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Fetsch M. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Borsum J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 1 - 2, Knothe N. ⚽,
87', 1 - 3, Mustafa V. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg II won 0.

Freiburg II is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Offenbach's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Freiburg II won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:32. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg II won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Offenbach	10	6	1	3	20:13	7	19
5	Freiburg II	9	4	4	1	18:11	7	16

Last Results with these Odds

Freiburg II - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.25%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
02.05.26	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Freiburg II	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Astoria Walldorf - Freiburg II	2:3 ✺
21.04.26	Freiburg II - Bahlinger	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Hessen Kassel - Freiburg II	2:3 ✺
12.04.26	Freiburg II - Eintracht Trier	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LWWWW
- Kickers Offenbach
German Regionalliga Sudwest
02.05.26	Kickers Offenbach - Astoria Walldorf	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Eintracht Trier - Kickers Offenbach	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Kickers Offenbach - FSV Frankfurt	3:3 ✺
19.04.26	Schott Mainz - Kickers Offenbach	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Kickers Offenbach - Balingen	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
07.11.25	Kickers Offenbach - Freiburg II	1:1
23.11.24	Kickers Offenbach - Freiburg II	3:1
27.07.24	Freiburg II - Kickers Offenbach	2:2
20.03.21	Kickers Offenbach - Freiburg II	1:1
03.10.20	Freiburg II - Kickers Offenbach	2:2
01.12.19	Kickers Offenbach - Freiburg II	3:1
04.08.19	Freiburg II - Kickers Offenbach	1:2

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