Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	TSV Steinbach Haiger		Freiburg II

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.75	2.78
	2.17	3.84	2.8
	2.19	3.71	2.77
	2.15	3.5	2.75
	2.13	3.74	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.16)	3.71 ↓ (3.75)	2.77 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TSV Steinbach Haiger
42.3%

Draw
24.6%

Freiburg II
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

24.4%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

25.6%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TSV Steinbach Haiger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The chances for Freiburg II have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSV Steinbach Haiger than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

TSV Steinbach Haiger - Freiburg II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Dacaj E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
66', 1 - 1, Adomah B. ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, Bellinghausen K. ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, Dacaj E. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Steinbach Haiger won 1.

Steinbach Haiger is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Freiburg II is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Steinbach Haiger won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Steinbach Haiger won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Freiburg II	9	4	4	1	18:11	7	16
9	Steinbach Haiger	10	3	4	3	15:15	0	13

Last Results with these Odds

TSV Steinbach Haiger - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.55%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Steinbach Haiger
German Regionalliga Sudwest
26.04.26	FSV Frankfurt - TSV Steinbach Haiger	0:6 ✺
22.04.26	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Schott Mainz	6:0 ✺
18.04.26	Freiberg - TSV Steinbach Haiger	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Sandhausen	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	Bayern Alzenau - TSV Steinbach Haiger	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 WWWLW
- Freiburg II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
25.04.26	Astoria Walldorf - Freiburg II	2:3 ✺
21.04.26	Freiburg II - Bahlinger	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Hessen Kassel - Freiburg II	2:3 ✺
12.04.26	Freiburg II - Eintracht Trier	4:1 ✺
04.04.26	Balingen - Freiburg II	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
01.11.25	Freiburg II - TSV Steinbach Haiger	3:2
10.05.25	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Freiburg II	3:0
09.11.24	Freiburg II - TSV Steinbach Haiger	3:0
11.04.21	Freiburg II - TSV Steinbach Haiger	1:0
21.10.20	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Freiburg II	2:4
07.03.20	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Freiburg II	2:1
25.08.19	Freiburg II - TSV Steinbach Haiger	0:1

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