Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 6

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Freiburg II		Schott Mainz

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.25	3.95
	1.9	4.27	3.39
	1.64	4.1	4.1	Watch
	1.78	3.9	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.82)	4.13 ↑ (4)	3.76 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
53%

Draw
22.4%

Schott Mainz
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

22.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

20.6%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Schott Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Freiburg II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schott Mainz than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Schott Mainz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Freiburg II - Schott Mainz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Itoi T. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
84', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+10', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Freiburg II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Schott Mainz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Schott Mainz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Freiburg II is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Freiburg II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2.5:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
31.08.25	Sandhausen - Freiburg II	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Freiburg II - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:4 ✺
16.08.25	Bayern Alzenau - Freiburg II	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	Freiburg II - Homburg	5:3 ✺
02.08.25	Freiberg - Freiburg II	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLTWL
- TSV Schott Mainz
German Regionalliga Sudwest
30.08.25	FSV Frankfurt - Schott Mainz	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Schott Mainz - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:4 ✺
16.08.25	Freiberg - Schott Mainz	4:0 ✺
09.08.25	Schott Mainz - Bahlinger	1:3 ✺
02.08.25	Bayern Alzenau - Schott Mainz	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
08.05.21	Schott Mainz - Freiburg II	0:2
23.02.21	Freiburg II - Schott Mainz	4:1
03.03.18	Freiburg II - Schott Mainz	2:0
09.09.17	Schott Mainz - Freiburg II	0:2

Freiburg II - Schott Mainz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide