Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 2

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Freiburg II		Homburg

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.7	1.95
	3.33	3.75	1.98
	3.3	3.64	1.92
	2.65	3.55	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.63)	3.66 ↑ (3.5)	2.03 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
29.5%

Draw
25.2%

Homburg
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

25.7%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Homburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Homburg's recent form is better than expected.

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
9', 1 - 0, Oguguo E. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Wagner N. ⚽,
29', 2 - 1, Goncalves M. ⚽,
35', 2 - 2, Kovacic O. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 3, Mendler M. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 3 - 3, Amegnaglo D. ⚽,
53', 4 - 3, Amegnaglo D. (Pen),
90+4', 5 - 3, Tober L. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg II won 2.

Homburg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Homburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Freiburg II won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg II won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
02.08.25	Freiberg - Freiburg II	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.25	Freiburg II - Bochum II	Canceled ✺
German Regionalliga Sudwest
17.05.25	Freiburg II - Mainz II	1:3 ✺
10.05.25	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Freiburg II	3:0 ✺
03.05.25	Stuttgarter Kickers - Freiburg II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 L?LLW
- FC 08 Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
02.08.25	Homburg - Hessen Kassel	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.25	Homburg - Elversberg	3:0 ✺
23.07.25	Hoffenheim - Homburg	4:0 ✺
16.07.25	Jeunesse Esch - Homburg	0:4 ✺
25.06.25	F91 Dudelange - Homburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
09.03.25	Freiburg II - Homburg	3:2
30.08.24	Homburg - Freiburg II	2:2
29.05.21	Freiburg II - Homburg	0:1
17.02.21	Homburg - Freiburg II	1:3
22.02.20	Homburg - Freiburg II	3:0
14.08.19	Freiburg II - Homburg	2:2
30.03.19	Homburg - Freiburg II	0:0

Upcoming Matches