Match Info

Date: 7 October 2020, Wednesday


	Berga		Frej

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.8	1.8	Watch
	3.6	3.8	1.75
	3.3	4	1.85
	3.45	3.85	1.79
	3.6	4.11	1.86
	3.5	3.75	1.85
	3.52	3.94	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.87)	3.89 ↑ (3.75)	1.82 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berga
26.1%

Draw
23.5%

Frej
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

24%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

17.2%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Berga's form might have worsened.

Frej has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Frej's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berga than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Berga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frej than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frej, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Berga - Frej Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

IFK Berga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Frej is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches IFK Berga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Berga
Swedish Division 1 Norra
03.10.20	Sollentuna - Berga	1:2 ✺
27.09.20	Berga - Gefle	0:0 ✺
23.09.20	Berga - Sylvia	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Karlstad - Berga	4:3 ✺
13.09.20	Nyköping - Berga	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.8 WTTLW
- IK Frej
Swedish Division 1 Norra
04.10.20	Frej - Täby	3:1 ✺
27.09.20	Nyköping - Frej	1:2 ✺
23.09.20	Frej - Karlslund	3:2 ✺
19.09.20	Örebro Syrianska - Frej	1:0 ✺
12.09.20	Frej - Vasalund	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
01.07.20	Frej - Berga	3:0

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