The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Frej 23.8%
Draw 21.2%
Vasalund 55%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
23.6%
45.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.7%
17.4%
61.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Frej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Frej's form might have worsened.
Vasalund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasalund's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frej than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasalund than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasalund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Limited number of spectators.
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Superettan).
Recent matches Frej is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Vasalunds is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Vasalunds could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Vasalunds is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Frej won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Frej won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.