The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vasalund 41.6%
Draw 21.6%
Karlstad 36.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.3%
26%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.1%
25.7%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasalund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasalund's performance.
Karlstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasalund than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Vasalund - Karlstad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 13th in the Division 1 - Relegation Promotion - Playoffs and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasalund won 1.
Vasalund is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Karlstad have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Vasalund has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:25 (averaging 1.5:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vasalund against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:8 goals (averaging 1.7:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Karlstad
28
12
8
8
42:31
11
44
13
Vasalund
28
7
7
14
39:61
-22
28
Last Results with these Odds
Karlstad - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.7%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.