Match Info

DENMARK: 1ST DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 4 November 2022, Friday

Location: Sundby Idraetspark (Copenhagen)

Referee: Nielsen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Fremad Amager		SønderjyskE

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.65	Watch
	4.6	3.9	1.61
	5	3.9	1.62
	4.8	3.85	1.6
	4.87	4.19	1.65
				Watch
	4.65	4.15	1.63	Watch
	4.8	3.8	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↑ (3.05)	3.97 ↑ (3.4)	1.62 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fremad Amager
19.2%

Draw
23.4%

SønderjyskE
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

26.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.1%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fremad Amager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fremad Amager's form might have worsened.

SønderjyskE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SønderjyskE's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fremad Amager than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fremad Amager, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SønderjyskE than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SønderjyskE, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Fremad Amager - SønderjyskE Predictions

Users Predictions: SønderjyskE will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match SønderjyskE is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Amager won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Amager won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fremad Amager
Danish 1 Division
29.10.22	Hillerød - Fremad Amager	3:0 ✺
22.10.22	Fremad Amager - Nykøbing	1:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
18.10.22	Roskilde - Fremad Amager	1:2 ✺
Danish 1 Division
15.10.22	HB Køge - Fremad Amager	3:0 ✺
07.10.22	Fremad Amager - Hvidovre	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLL
- SønderjyskE
Danish 1 Division
30.10.22	HB Køge - SønderjyskE	1:4 ✺
21.10.22	SønderjyskE - Hillerød	2:3 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
18.10.22	HB Køge - SønderjyskE	1:4 ✺
Danish 1 Division
15.10.22	Helsingør - SønderjyskE	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	SønderjyskE - Hobro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
22.07.22	SønderjyskE - Fremad Amager	2:1
Danish Landspokal Cup
11.03.21	SønderjyskE - Fremad Amager	4:1
10.02.21	Fremad Amager - SønderjyskE	1:2

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